作者： admin

Expert analysis： the overall toll burden will not increase after the cancellation of provincial toll stations.

Xinhua News Agency, Beijing, January 6 (Reporter Wei Yukun) In view of the phenomenon that some car owners reported an increase in tolls after the cancellation of provincial toll stations on expressways, Li Aimin, vice president of the Highway Research Institute of the Ministry of Transport, said on the 6th that the overall burden of vehicle tolls would not increase after the "withdrawal of stations".

Li Aimin introduced that China’s expressways are charged on a provincial basis. Before the "withdrawal of the station", the closed charging system was mainly adopted. The bus was charged according to the model and the weight of the truck, according to the path and mileage, and the account was split by sections. Specifically, vehicles entering the expressway will get a pass card with their vehicle and station information at the entrance or write the entrance information into ETC, and after the exit returns the pass card or reads and writes ETC information, they will pay the toll according to their mileage, vehicle type or weight.

Li Aimin said that except for Zhejiang, Guangdong, Sichuan and other provinces, which have realized accurate toll collection and account dismantling, most provinces adopt the shortest path toll collection. In other words, no matter how far you actually go, you will collect the toll according to the shortest path between the starting point and the end point.

"For example, from Anyang in the north of Henan to Nanyang in the south, you can access it through multiple highway paths, and you can take any road you want, but when charging, you will charge according to the mileage of the shortest path and multiply it by the rate standard. This is the shortest path charging." Li Aimin said that as the scale of the road network becomes larger, it is difficult for this charging system to reflect the principle of fairness in how many roads to take and how much to pay.

Li Aimin said that after the "withdrawal of the station", new portal frames were built along the expressway whenever the traffic volume changed, and each portal frame was responsible for collecting the fees of the section where it was located, which realized accurate charging by sections, that is, how much money was paid for how many roads it took. Therefore, the toll of vehicles that walk a long section between two points will increase compared with the toll charged according to the shortest path before.

"In addition, the rounding rule of the toll amount has also been adjusted from the original rounding to’ 0 yuan and 5 yuan’ to the rounding of ETC vehicles to’ points’ and the rounding of manual toll vehicles to’ yuan’, and the corresponding toll amount will also rise and fall." Li Aimin explained that, for example, from the original place A to the second place, the toll rate was multiplied by the mileage, and the actual toll was rounded up to 10 yuan, and if it was 12 yuan, it would also be rounded up to 10 yuan. After "withdrawing the station", 8 yuan will accept 8 yuan, and 12 yuan will accept 12 yuan. Compared with the original charging system, accurate charging is more accurate and fair.

Which models’ charges will change after the "withdrawal"? Li Aimin said that the charging standards for some buses have been significantly reduced, and the overall burden of charging trucks by vehicle type has not increased.

In May 2019, the Ministry of Transport issued the revised Classification of Toll Vehicles on Toll Roads, which clarified that the classification limit value of Class 1 and Class 2 passenger cars was revised from the approved number of passengers of 7 to 9 and the vehicle length was less than 6 meters. In July of that year, the Ministry of Transport issued a notice, clarifying that the new charging standard will be implemented from January 1, 2020.

Li Aimin said that since January 1st, 8-seat and 9-seat minibuses have been charged according to Class I bus, and the charging standard has been reduced by 1/3 to 1/2 on average, and the toll burden has dropped significantly. There are also some provinces that implement downshifting charges for passenger cars. For example, class 2 buses in Shanghai are charged according to class 1 buses, while class 4 buses in Guangdong Province are charged according to class 3 buses, and the charging level of the corresponding buses in these areas has also been significantly reduced.

In the aspect of freight car charging, from January 1st, the freight car charging method was adjusted from charging by weight to charging by car (axle). The Ministry of Transport, together with relevant departments, has issued a notice to urge and guide all localities to take the total weight of local vehicles and goods weighted by mileage in 2018 as an important basis, and organize forces to conduct in-depth research and analysis on the rate adjustment schemes of all localities, and urge all localities to realize that the truck charging standard is at least 10% lower than the full load.

"After charging by vehicle type, the same charging standard will be implemented for vehicles with the same axle, no matter how many vehicles are loaded. For fully loaded vehicles, the fee will be significantly reduced; For no-load vehicles and light-load vehicles, the fee may increase. It is recommended that relevant enterprises strengthen the transportation organization and enjoy the policy dividend of adjusting the charging method by increasing the actual load rate. " Li Aimin said.

Li Aimin introduced that, on the basis of continuing to implement the "green passage" policy for the transportation of fresh agricultural products, the Ministry of Transport has jointly issued a notice with relevant departments, explicitly requiring all localities to comprehensively promote preferential policies and measures such as differentiated expressway charges, so as to comprehensively improve vehicle traffic efficiency and reduce the burden of vehicle tolls.

Does the reduction of social security fees affect the payment of pensions？ What is the employment situation like？ The latest response from the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security!

　　Since the beginning of this year, affected by the COVID-19 epidemic, the task of stabilizing employment is arduous. A series of policies and measures have been put into practice, such as helping enterprises, reducing burdens, stabilizing posts and expanding employment, and stabilizing the basic employment. The State Council Office held a press conference a few days ago, and the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security introduced the situation of stabilizing employment and reducing social security fees and its implementation results. What is the situation of social security fee reduction? Will it affect the payment of pensions? What is the current employment situation? Let’s watch it together — —

　　About the reduction of social insurance premiums

　　How much is the reduction? How many enterprises enjoy the relief?

　　By the end of September, 11.299 million enterprises had benefited from the three social insurance premium reduction and exemption policies, with a reduction of 910.7 billion yuan and a deferred payment of 61.6 billion yuan. In addition, the policy of reducing the social insurance premium rate reduced the payment of enterprises by 232.2 billion yuan, and reduced the cost of enterprises by 1,204.5 billion yuan.

　　Will the reduction of social insurance premiums affect the timely and full payment of pensions?

　　Faced with the severe and complicated situation this year, a series of policies and measures such as "exemption, reduction, delay, return and compensation" have been introduced in social insurance. When these policies were introduced, the income and expenditure of social insurance funds have been fully predicted and accurately calculated, which can ensure the timely and full payment of pensions.

　　By the end of September, the reduction or exemption of three social insurances had reduced the cost of enterprises by 1,204.5 billion yuan, including 1,014 billion yuan for endowment insurance, accounting for 84.1%. Judging from the actual operation of the enterprise pension insurance fund, the operation of the enterprise pension insurance fund has withstood the test in the first three quarters, and it is relatively stable on the whole, even better than expected. From the perspective of fund revenue and expenditure, the total income was 2.1 trillion yuan, the total expenditure was 2.8 trillion yuan, and the accumulated balance of the fund was 4.5 trillion yuan. It can be seen that, on the whole, there is still a relatively solid material foundation for insurance and distribution.

　　About stable employment

　　What is the current employment situation?

　　1-mdash this year; In September, 8.98 million new jobs were created in cities and towns, and 99% of the expected targets and tasks for the whole year have been completed. In September, the national urban survey unemployment rate was 5.4%, which was in line with the expected control target of around 6%.

　　What is the employment situation of key groups? What measures are there to support their employment?

　　College graduates:

　　Broaden employment channels, implement employment and entrepreneurship promotion actions, and provide continuous employment services. The employment situation of college graduates is generally stable and the pressure is reduced compared with the previous period. According to the data of the Bureau of Statistics, in September, 20-mdash; The survey unemployment rate of 24-year-old college students and above decreased by 2.4 percentage points compared with last month. After that, we will continue to push forward the implementation of policies, expand enrollment, and launch a series of activities such as entrepreneurial support, internship promotion, and "employment cloud service" to provide quality employment services for graduates.

　　Migrant workers:

　　By the end of the third quarter, there were 179 million migrant workers, an increase of 2 million compared with the end of the second quarter. Priority should be given to organizing poor laborers to go out, stabilizing their jobs, providing job transfer services and returning home. By the end of September, the number of poor laborers going out to work had reached 29.34 million, exceeding the total scale of last year.

　　Laid-off workers:

　　In promoting the re-employment of laid-off workers, online unemployment registration is opened to provide "one-stop" employment services, 1-mdash; In September, a total of 3.53 million unemployed people were helped to find jobs again.

　　What other policies support employment?

　　Promoting economic growth and promoting employment: supporting industries with large employment capacity to give priority to development. Support the development of new industries and formats, and encourage flexible employment through multiple channels. Optimize the entrepreneurial environment and give play to the multiplier effect of entrepreneurship driving employment.

　　Implement and improve the employment policy to expand employment: further strengthen the implementation of tax reduction and fee reduction policies, ensure that all relief measures reach the grassroots and enterprises directly, and encourage enterprises not to lay off employees or reduce them.

　　Highlight key groups to ensure employment: focus on helping unemployed college graduates to find jobs as soon as possible, promote migrant workers to go out for employment in an orderly manner and find jobs nearby, increase employment assistance for poor laborers, and make overall arrangements for the employment of fishermen and people in difficulty.

　　Optimize service training to promote employment: strengthen the capacity building of grassroots public employment services, and carry out various forms of supply and demand docking services such as live broadcast with posts, special recruitment, and human resources service industry to promote employment.

　　Prevent and resolve risks and stabilize employment: closely track changes in the economic and employment situation, strengthen statistical monitoring and analysis of employment, and prepare for relevant risks.

David Jiang, Chongqing, Shang Yan, worth 90,000 yuan, was angered by ＂debt collection＂

　　　　Yesterday, a large-scale theatrical performance of Peony Festival was held in Dianjiang County, Chongqing, and all the stars such as David Jiang, Huang An, ChristianRandPhillips, Yang Chengang and Jolin Tsai were present. It’s just that the weather is bad, and the rainy weather makes the atmosphere of the 12,000 audience at the performance site always in a depressed state. The audience showed no interest in a large number of cushion programs and many mainland stars, and there were many boos at the scene. Only when ChristianRandPhillips and Jolin Tsai appeared, the audience showed a little enthusiasm.

　　　　David Jiang was criticized for typhoon instability.

　　　　Yesterday, a large-scale cultural performance of Chongqing Peony Festival was held in Dianjiang County Stadium, with 12,000 seats at the performance site. The audience arrived early to wait for the performance to begin. At 2 o’clock in the afternoon, with the appearance of David Jiang in a white suit, the performance officially began, but at this time, the sky began to rain and the temperature plummeted. David Jiang catered to the theme of the performance at the beginning, and sang the famous song "Song of Peony" live. However, due to the rainy weather and the cold opening atmosphere, the audience remained silent all the time during the song singing, which was very cold. Later, David Jiang sang his masterpieces "Where the Peach Blossoms Bloom", "Spring in the Northland" and "Dare to Ask Where the Road Is". In order to arouse the enthusiasm of the audience, David Jiang changed the steady typhoon and kept greeting and thanking the audience during the singing process, but some viewers said, "Why does the typhoon in David Jiang look like a second-and third-rate singer?"

　　　　Huang An was booed off the stage by the audience

　　　　After David Jiang’s exit, the whole theatrical performance began a long cushion program. A variety of national dance performances, Brazilian customs performances, poetry readings, singing by young singers and other programs filled the whole performance site. Also interspersed with Yang Chengang, Huang An, Zu Hai and soldiers and other stars to perform. But the audience booed the performances of many stars. Some people complained that Yang Chengang’s voice was too ugly, and he was short and smelly. Huang An’s performance was evaluated as a "buffoon". After Huang An sang the first song "New Yuanyang Butterfly Dream", the audience shouted "Huang An, we want to see ChristianRandPhillips and Jolin Tsai." Hearing the roar of the audience, Huang An’s face suddenly sank. Then he managed to squeeze out a smile and asked the audience if they wanted to listen to his own singing. The audience once again loudly said "no". Huang An’s face was deep again, but he still finished singing the second song. When Huang An walked off the stage, the audience immediately responded with "warm" applause.

　　　　Jolin Tsai’s sexy appearance is full of applause.

　　　　ChristianRandPhillips’s appearance set off the first climax of the audience since the beginning of the performance. ChristianRandPhillips sang three songs: Olive Tree, Cloud in Hometown and A Fire in Winter. Almost the first capital was a chorus of 10,000 people, and some audiences came to the stage from time to time to give ChristianRandPhillips flowers and hugs. Jolin Tsai, the little diva of Taiwan Province, took the stage as the grand finale, and the passion of the audience instantly broke out to the highest point. Although it was raining lightly in the sky, Jolin Tsai wore a fur coat on his upper body, but only a yellow tulle skirt on his lower body, and his performance won applause from the audience. Many fans also stood in chairs to watch Jolin Tsai sing, and even a small fan rushed to the stage to offer flowers in the rain many times, all of which were dragged down from the stage by security guards. However, the small fan finally broke away from the security guards and Jolin Tsai’s agent and succeeded in offering flowers on the stage, and expressed his love for Jolin Tsai in a "bear hug" way.

　　　　Reveal the secret exclusively

　　　　Although the level of the whole performance was not high, afterwards, the reporter still got a quotation for the appearance fee of the stars who participated in the performance from an insider who participated in the performance. The reporter saw on the quotation that the appearance fees of soldiers were 30,000 to 60,000 yuan, that of David Jiang was 90,000, that of Yang Chenggang was 60,000, and that of Zu Hai and Huang An was 20,000, but the appearance fees of ChristianRandPhillips and Jolin Tsai were not on the quotation. But according to the insider, ChristianRandPhillips’s appearance fee is about several hundred thousand yuan, while Jolin Tsai’s is nearly one million.

　　　　Exclusive interview

　　　　In a performance like Dianjiang, the stars usually drive away after the performance, so it’s hard to catch the chance to meet them face to face. What’s more, these are the protagonists of hot topics, and the pursuit of the media is even more "stay at a respectful distance." However, the reporter still seized the opportunity to interview David Jiang, who was beset by "debt case", and Jolin Tsai, who was accompanied by "Zhou Hou Lian".

　　　　David Jiang was angered by "debt collection"

　　　　Yesterday’s performance, David Jiang appeared as the first guest. When he returned to the backstage to drive away, he was stopped by a reporter who was waiting in the background. At the reporter’s repeated request, he finally agreed to a short interview.

　　　　David Jiang’s face looked very ugly when he mentioned the debt collection that happened the day before yesterday. He said angrily: "This incident has been reported by many media, which has had a certain negative impact on me. Those people are simply unreasonable!" Later, David Jiang told reporters that Ms. Yao Man, who came to collect debts, had been very good friends with him before, and there was friction only because of some minor misunderstandings. "Originally, everyone could solve it in a calm way, but she took such a fierce way. This practice is too much! " David Jiang said loudly.

　　　　As for how this matter will be handled, David Jiang said: "Before the matter is officially handled, I am not allowed to express my position casually, just waiting for the public security organs to find out the facts and investigate the real situation, and then I will be innocent when the truth comes out." Say that finish, David Jiang motioned the reporter to end the interview, turned and got on the bus and left the background.

　　　　The reporter also learned in Dianjiang that Ms. Yao had gone to Dianjiang to collect debts for "David Jiang owed her 900,000 yuan". The reporter has been waiting at the hotel where Dianjiang stayed in David Jiang, but did not see Ms. Yao.

　　　　Jolin Tsai never talks about "Zhou Hou"

　　　　As the last guest, Jolin Tsai finally appeared at the scene after the reporter waited for more than an hour. But she stayed in the car and refused to show up. The reporter tried to get on the bus several times, but Jolin Tsai’s agent refused. The reporter had to follow Jolin Tsai to her hotel after the performance. Jolin Tsai finally agreed to be interviewed in her agent’s room after several times.

　　　　Referring to the sales of the new book, Jolin Tsai was very excited: "It sold well! Very good! " She also said that when the promotion of the new book is finished, she will be busy preparing for the new album. Seeing that her work was going well and she was in a good mood, the reporter wanted to take a chance, but just as Jay Chou’s word "Zhou" was mentioned to her mouth, Jolin Tsai immediately looked dignified and seriously interrupted the reporter: "Don’t ask me about them again. I have said it many times, and this matter will not bother me anymore. I will live my life happily. " Later, Jolin Tsai deliberately changed the subject. "I feel very good when I come here today, but the weather is not very good, so the mood of the fans on the scene is not very high."

　　　　Jolin Tsai said that although the atmosphere at the scene was not very lively, she was still touched when she saw some fans rushing to the stage to offer flowers for themselves despite the obstruction of the agent. "At that time, a very small fan rushed up and gave me a hug. You see, the stage was so slippery, which was actually very dangerous. So I was really touched at the time, and I am very grateful to so many fans for their support. "

CICC： Power shortage and energy consumption control, where to go？

Wentuan CICC

The contradiction between the high growth of power demand and the constraint of energy consumption index is emerging.

Power cuts and industrial peak-shifting production have once again occurred in various places.

Inner Mongolia, Yunnan and Guangdong have a tight balance of power, which "reproduces peak-shifting production". In December, 2020, power cuts occurred in Zhejiang, Hunan, Jiangxi, Inner Mongolia and other places, requiring industrial and commercial enterprises to produce off-peak to fill the valley; Since May 2021, power cuts have been staged again in Guangdong and Yunnan. Guangdong government will strengthen load trend forecasting and analysis and guide enterprises to adjust production arrangements and peak electricity consumption; On May 10th, Yunnan, due to the lower-than-expected incoming water, there was a gap in the peak electricity consumption, which led to the start of off-peak power rationing for enterprises and reduced the electricity load of electrolytic aluminum plants by more than 30%. China Southern Power Grid informed the electrolytic aluminum plants that the power rationing is expected to last until mid-June.

Tight supply pushes up bulk prices and affects the production cost of economic activities. The epidemic led to a continuous decline in commodity prices in early 2020, followed by economic stimulus policies in various countries, and prices bottomed out in April-May. On May 14th, 2021, the total index of commodity prices in China reached 183.3, up 43.6% from last year’s rock-bottom price of 103.3. In May, the National People’s Congress named the issue of commodity prices for two consecutive weeks [1]. Although the price dropped after May 14th, the factors driving the price increase have not been eliminated. Moreover, after the high temperature weather entered in June, the supply reduction caused by power cuts may further expand, and commodity prices may remain at a high level for a long time.

Chart: China Commodity Price Index (Week)

Source: wind information, Research Department of CICC.

The main cause of power rationing

1) Industrial and commercial electricity consumption exceeded expectations, and the power load hit a historical high:

Economic recovery brought about a sharp increase of 19.1% in electricity consumption in the first four months, and the contribution of secondary and tertiary industries was 66.7% and 17.1%. From January to April, the electricity consumption of the whole society in China increased rapidly by 19.1% year-on-year, which was 7.0% higher than the same period in 2019, excluding the impact of the epidemic; Among them, the contribution rates of secondary and tertiary industries were 66.7% and 17.1%, respectively, up 20.7% and 29.0% year-on-year, with compound growth rates of 7.4% and 8.4% compared with the same period in 2019, and the growth rate of electricity demand exceeded the expected level.

High demand for electricity is a national pressure, and the year-on-year growth rate of 13 provinces exceeds the national average. Xizang, Hubei, Zhejiang and Guangdong have the highest year-on-year growth rates from January to April, accounting for 33.6%, 31.9%, 29.3% and 29.2% respectively. Compared with the same period in 2019, the compound growth rate is between 2.7% and 16.5%, and the compound growth rate of 16 provinces exceeds the national average, with Yunnan, Xizang, Shandong and Guangxi leading the way, accounting for 16.5%, 14.9%, 10% and 10% respectively.

Guangdong’s power load exceeded 100 million ahead of last year, and the rising peak demand aggravated the shortage of power. With the economic growth after the resumption of work and the air conditioning load brought by the rising temperature, the peak load of Guangdong power grid took the lead in breaking 100 million on March 19, 9 days earlier than the same period last year. The trend of power peak load has brought great challenges to the installed power reserve, power grid forecasting and dispatching ability in various regions.

Chart: China’s electricity demand from January to April in 2019-2021-by industry

Source: China Electricity Council, Research Department of CICC.

Chart: Year-on-year growth rate of electricity demand in China from January to April 2021-by region

Source: Government website, Research Department of CICC.

2) Power supply shortage: the power supply is in a tight situation due to the influence of weak incoming water, weak sunshine and high coal price.

Since 2021, dry weather has occurred in many places in Jiangnan and South China. From January to April 2021, the power generation of hydropower plants above designated size was 272.7 billion kWh, up by 1.1% year-on-year, and the compound growth rate was -4.5% compared with the same period in 2019. On a monthly basis, the average precipitation in January decreased by 58% compared with the normal period, and gradually recovered and approached the normal period from February to April, but the flood season in South China was 20 days later than normal. In May, the precipitation in southwestern Sichuan, northwestern Yunnan and eastern South China was still less, and the drought continued.

Due to the increase of fog and dusty weather, the sunshine is weak. According to the agricultural meteorological news, the sunshine hours in March were 182h, which was 18.4% and 9.4% less than that in the previous year and the same period of normal years. Among them, southwest and south China are 30% to 1 times more, and central North China, western Huanghuai, Jianghan, western Jiangnan and northwestern South China are 30% to 50% less. In April, the number of sunshine hours in China was 199h hours, which was 16.9% and 7.7% less than that in the previous year and the same period of the previous year, and it was 20% to 80% less than that in the eastern northwest, southwestern north China, Jianghan, central and western south China, western south China and eastern southwest China.

The price of thermal coal continues the upward trend at the end of 2020, and the cost pressure of thermal power enterprises is great. From January to April 2021, the thermal power generation of power plants above designated size increased by 19.9% year-on-year, with a compound growth rate of 6.9% compared with the same period in 2019. The strong demand for electricity pushes up the demand for coal and the price trend of thermal coal. The cost of spot coal is close to the on-grid electricity price, and the profit situation of power generation is not optimistic.

Chart: Monthly change of precipitation in China

Source: China Meteorological Bureau; Research department of CICC

Note: Data in February 2021 are not disclosed.

Chart: Monthly change of sunshine hours in China

Source: National Agrometeorological Monthly Report; Research department of CICC

Note: January-February 2021 is February data.

Chart: China coal price index

Source: wind information; Research department of CICC

Chart: China’s coal supply and demand situation

Source: wind information; Research department of CICC

3) The pressure of energy consumption management and control in many provinces is rising, facing interviews.

Clean energy is restricted by natural factors, and the power generation fails to meet the demand increase. Thermal power supports the power supply in dry season, and the contradiction with the energy consumption index is prominent. The General Office of the National Development and Reform Commission issued the Notice of "Barometer on the Completion of the Target of Dual Control of Energy Consumption in the First Quarter of 2021", in which the energy intensity of Zhejiang, Guangdong, Guangxi, Yunnan, Qinghai, Ningxia and Xinjiang increased instead of falling, and was reminded by the NDRC. Since the beginning of the year, the work reports of provincial governments have all proposed that energy conservation, carbon reduction and emission reduction should be controlled within the targets set by the state in 2021. Zhejiang, Ningxia and Xinjiang have set the targets of "freeing up 1.8 million tons of standard coal for energy use", "the consumption of water, coal and electricity per unit of GDP has decreased by 15%" and "the energy consumption per unit of GDP has decreased by about 3%" in 2021. According to the year-on-year increase of energy consumption intensity in the first quarter, it is obvious that.

Chart: Excerpts from the work reports of provincial governments on energy conservation and emission reduction targets in 2021.

Source: websites of provincial governments and research department of CICC.

Chart: barometer of the completion of energy consumption double control targets in the first quarter of 2021

Source: National Development and Reform Commission and Research Department of CICC.

Short-term measures: it is crucial to increase the output of clean energy and increase the supply of coal.

Priority is given to the proportion of low-carbon clean energy consumption.

The utilization rate of existing clean energy projects has obviously rebounded, and the absorptive capacity of wind power photovoltaic needs to be further improved.

Since the second half of last year, nuclear power units have tended to be full: by the end of 2020, the installed power generation of nuclear power in China has increased by 5.0% year-on-year, and the utilization hours have increased by 1.4% year-on-year to 7453 h; From January to April in 2021, the installed capacity increased by 4.7% year-on-year, the power generation increased by 14.9% year-on-year, the growth rate increased by 11.2 percentage points over the same period of last year, and the utilization hour increased by 9.9% year-on-year to 2450h, and the utilization rate rebounded obviously. Among them, the quarterly utilization hours of 3Q20 and 4Q20 nuclear power units in China exceeded 2000 hours, which were 2038h and 2015h respectively, and they have tended to be full; 1Q21 was 1822h, an increase of 12.25% over the same period of last year.

Chart: Quarterly utilization hours of nuclear power units in China.

Source: Company Announcement, Research Department of CICC.

Since the beginning of this year, the wind conditions have been good and the power cut has continued to improve. From January to April 2021, Longyuan Power’s wind power generation increased by 23.3% year-on-year. Excluding the reasons of wind resources last year, we can see that the data has a compound growth rate of 14.1% compared with the same period in 2019. In addition, the company’s power cut rates in the first four months were 4.8%, 7.2%, 4.9% and 5.2% respectively, which remained at a low level in the same period of the past four years after the industry rushed to install them last year.

Chart: Monthly Change of Power Limit Rate of Longyuan Power Company

Source: Company Announcement, Research Department of CICC.

The release of non-water renewable energy consumption indicators will promote sustainable construction and grid-connected scenery projects. Recently, the Notice on Matters Related to the Development and Construction of Wind Power and Photovoltaic Power Generation in 2021 and the Notice on the Responsibility Weight of Renewable Energy Power Consumption and Related Matters in 2021 were issued. The target of wind power and photovoltaic power generation in 2021 is about 11% of the total electricity consumption, and the binding non-hydropower consumption responsibility weight of each province is between 4.0% and 24.5%, and the expected target in 2022 is 5.3%. Under the guidance of this goal, the speed of scenery stock and new projects from filing to construction and production will be accelerated and the cycle will be shortened.

Chart: China’s Provinces Consume Responsibility Weight

Source: website of National Development and Reform Commission, Research Department of CICC.

Increase coal supply and push down prices.

High coal prices limit the ability and willingness of thermal power generation. According to industry exchanges, the loss of coal-fired power business of mainstream thermal power enterprises has reached 20-30% in the first quarter. Entering the off-season of traditional power generation in the second quarter, the growth rate of power generation is slightly weaker than that of the previous quarter, but the high coal price may further worsen the profit performance and expand the loss.

After urging the thermal coal to increase the supply and protect the price, the price dropped slightly. On May 19th, the executive meeting of the State Council pointed out that it is necessary to attach great importance to the adverse effects caused by rising commodity prices and urge key coal enterprises to increase production and supply on the premise of ensuring safety. Shaanxi has increased the output of Shaanxi Coal Group, an existing large coal enterprise, and at the same time accelerated the construction of coal mines and increased production capacity. In terms of price stabilization, Yulin City, Shaanxi Province held a meeting to ensure supply and price stabilization, and interviewed the heads of major local coal enterprises, asking them to reasonably control coal prices and put an end to hoarding and other acts of driving up coal prices [2]. After May 14, the price of coal in Qinhuangdao has declined. In order to solve the contradiction between supply and demand of coal for a long time and restore the rational range of the market, it is necessary for coal enterprises to increase the release of production capacity.

Chart: Monthly data of coal inventory

Source: wind information, Research Department of CICC.

Chart: Closing Price of Zhou Du Coal in Qinhuangdao (including tax).

Source: China Coal Resources Network, Research Department of CICC.

Chart: Coal throughput of Qinhuangdao and Huanghua ports in China since 2019

Source: wind information, Research Department of CICC.

Long-term measures: the power system will reshape the electricity price mechanism or usher in a new situation

Peak power shortage or new normal

In the past five years, the average utilization hours of thermal power installed capacity have remained at 4,164.7 ~ 4,361.0 hours, showing a state of increasing first and then decreasing, which is far lower than the 5,500 hours showing the shortage of electricity in the region. Looking at the one-year cycle, our power supply is still in a relatively loose state.

Then what are we talking about lack of electricity? There is a lack of power installed capacity to meet the power demand at rush hour. Power cuts are frequent in many provinces and cities, but we also find that Guangdong, Hunan, Yunnan and other places with problems often have several characteristics:

On the basis of the high increase of industrial and commercial electricity consumption after the resumption of work, "cold winter and hot summer" brought the electricity consumption of air conditioning to rise ahead of schedule, and the difference between peak and valley was obvious. With the increase of urbanization, industrialization and electrification rate, air conditioning is used more and more frequently in industry and people’s livelihood. Cooling in summer and heating in winter amplify the influence of climate on power demand. At the end of last year, the winter in Hunan Province came early, and the average temperature was 3℃ lower than that in the same period, which led to a rapid increase in the load. Since May this year, the high temperature in Guangdong Province has continued, which is 4℃ higher than that in the same period last year. When the industrial and commercial demand is growing rapidly, extreme weather further increases the difficulty for relevant departments to forecast the power shortage in advance and flexibly dispatch the power grid.

The proportion of clean energy (hydropower, wind power, photovoltaic) affected by natural conditions is relatively large in the power supply structure. From the point of view of power supply, in addition to the stability of thermal power and nuclear power generation, water, wind and light are affected by the wet/dry season and the natural conditions of the year. Imagine that if the annual dimension of incoming water is more stable than in previous years, but if the dry season is good and the flood season coincides with the peak of summer electricity consumption is much weaker than expected, even if the thermal power is full, it will be difficult to make up, and the supply and demand will not match in the short term, and there will be a power gap.

Take Hunan 4Q20 as an example: the utilization hours of thermal power in Hunan remained at the level of 4,000 hours in 2018-2019. At first glance, there is still room for dispatching power generation. But in detail, the monthly utilization hours of thermal power in the province are between 200-300 hours from March to June, with an annual utilization of 2,400-3,600 hours, which is not full, while in the summer of peak electricity consumption (July-September), the thermal power units can reach 300-400 hours, with an annual utilization of 3,600-4,800 hours, while The rapid increase in power demand makes it difficult to obtain additional power supply support.

Chart: Hunan Province-Monthly thermal power utilization hours fluctuate greatly.

Source: China Electricity Council and Research Department of CICC.

Tightly balance the power supply, improve the power price mechanism and enhance the investment attraction.

The call for "price reduction" of the two sessions has weakened. In order to reduce the cost of enterprises, in 2018-2019, the general industrial and commercial electricity price will be reduced by 10% and 10% on average, and in 2020, the industrial and commercial electricity price will be reduced by 5%. In 2018 and 2019, the general industrial and commercial sales electricity price decreased by 0.15 yuan/kWh, with a cumulative decrease of 19%. In 2021, although it was proposed to continue to reduce the general industrial and commercial electricity price, no binding instructions were given for the reduction, and the focus of reducing the customer-side electricity price was on the transmission and distribution price and the price increase in the process of switching to power supply, which weakened the hard demand for reducing the on-grid electricity price of power generation enterprises.

Under the pressure of high coal prices, market-oriented electricity price discounts are improving, especially in Jiangsu, Shandong, Yunnan and Guangdong. In 2021, the electricity market will be extended to all manufacturing enterprises, and the degree of marketization will be further expanded. In the past, when the supply of electricity exceeded the demand, the market-oriented transaction price was obviously lower than the benchmark on-grid price, and the profit-making effect of power generation enterprises was obvious. However, in the case of tight power supply and demand in 2021, the bidding price has increased significantly and the power discount has narrowed.

Jiangsu: In February this year, the transaction price reached 391 yuan/mwh, the highest value since 2018. The average transaction price from January to June was 378 yuan/mwh, up by 23 yuan/mwh compared with the same period of last year, and up by 21 yuan/mwh compared with the same period of 2019.

Shandong: In February and June this year, the transaction price reached a historical peak of 395 yuan/mwh, and the average price from January to June was 393 yuan/mwh, up by 9 yuan/mwh compared with the same period in 2019.

Yunnan: From January to May this year, the transaction price remained above 250 yuan/MWh, and the average price increased by 10 yuan/MWh compared with the same period of last year.

Guangdong: From January to May this year, the monthly bidding price difference was 29.7-40.1 yuan/mwh, with an average of 34.4 yuan/mwh, which was similar to the 4Q20 price difference range of 27.5-40.1 yuan/mwh and the average of 32.7 yuan/mwh, but in June, the bidding price difference fell to the lowest value of 1.91 yuan/mwh. Or due to the tight power supply and the peak electricity consumption in June.

Chart: Jiangsu Bidding Transaction Electricity Price

Source: Electric Power Trading Center; Research department of CICC

Chart: Shandong bidding transaction price

Source: Electric Power Trading Center; Research department of CICC

Chart: Yunnan bidding transaction price

Source: Electric Power Trading Center; Research department of CICC

Chart: Guangdong bidding price difference

Source: Electric Power Trading Center; Research department of CICC

Note: The bid price difference in August 2020 is 130 yuan/MWh.

The spot transaction price in Guangdong far exceeds the benchmark, and it is difficult to improve in a long period of time. The tightness of supply and demand in the electricity spot market is obviously reflected in the spot transaction price. In May, the daily average transaction price of Guangdong electric power spot settlement continued to rise, exceeding the benchmark price of 463 yuan/mwh on May 13, reaching 541 yuan/mwh; Then the price continued to rise, reaching the peak of 675 yuan/MWh on May 18th. After that, the price declined to some extent, but it remained above 500 yuan/MWh. The high transaction price in the spot market reflects that the cost pressure of power generation enterprises is partly transmitted to the downstream, and it has entered the peak period of power consumption in summer. We expect that the situation of high spot transaction price is difficult to change and will continue for a long time.

Chart: Average daily transaction price and volume of spot settlement of electricity in Guangdong in May 2021 (right)

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Source: Power Trading Center, Research Department of CICC.

Linking energy consumption index with green electricity to promote the distributed development of industry and commerce

The high-carbon emission industry may not be able to expand its production due to the lack of energy consumption indicators, and instead build its own distributed power station and use green power for its own use. Under the constraint of energy consumption index, we think that some enterprises with high carbon emissions will obviously increase their demand for green electricity in order to obtain the new capacity quota index. Industrial and commercial enterprises may install their own distributed power stations, and use low-cost green power sources such as wind power and photovoltaic for their own use. When the policy allows, they can also use surplus electricity to access the Internet, which will increase the flexibility of electricity use and avoid the problem of power restriction.

At present, many enterprises have made relevant attempts, and the 800KW distributed photovoltaic power generation project of Ji ‘an Wood Industry has been put into operation. Sinopec plans to lay out 7,000 distributed photovoltaic power stations in the 14th Five-Year Plan. With the further development of energy consumption indicators, the distribution of industry and commerce may develop rapidly in the future.

Perfecting the energy storage price mechanism in the 14 th Five-Year Plan is imminent

Promote the low-carbon transformation of energy supply structure and implement the newly introduced pumped storage price mechanism. Pumped storage power station has many functions, such as peak regulation, frequency modulation, voltage regulation, system standby and black start, etc. Compared with thermal power and electrochemical energy storage, it has higher flexibility, cost advantage and environmental protection advantage. In the future, a two-part electricity price policy will be adopted to form electricity price in a competitive way, and the demand for energy storage will be determined by the market, which will ensure the return and stability of the project (the return standard is 6.5%), help to enhance investment attraction, introduce social capital to participate in pumping and storage investment, and be fair and open to the power grid. At present, the installed capacity of pumped storage is 31.79 million kilowatts, and 54.63 million kilowatts are under construction. According to the plan of the National Energy Administration, the demand for pumped storage will reach 140-160 million kilowatts in 2035, and the "Tenth Five-Year Plan" is expected to become the golden stage of pumped storage development.

For the first time, the "independent market dominant position" of new energy storage is given, and the solution idea of "who pays for energy storage" is given. According to the "Guiding Opinions on Accelerating the Development of New Energy Storage (Draft for Comment)" issued by the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration, by 2025, the goal is to realize the transformation of new energy storage from the initial stage of commercialization to large-scale development, with an installed capacity of more than 30 million kilowatts. By 2030, the new energy storage will be fully market-oriented. The Opinions are expected to bring about three changes: 1) Energy storage on the power supply side: new energy+energy storage can be given priority in terms of project competitive configuration, approval and filing, grid-connected timing, system scheduling and operation arrangement, guaranteed utilization hours, compensation assessment of power auxiliary services, etc., or help to improve economic pressure; 2) Grid-side energy storage: the income from independent energy storage may come from capacity price+gradual participation in the power market, among which the cost of facilities belonging to "grid alternative energy storage" may be included in the recovery of transmission and distribution price in the future; 3) User-side energy storage: the benefits and costs of energy storage mainly depend on the arbitrage of peak-valley electricity prices, and more development space is created by improving the peak-valley electricity price policy.

We will improve green electricity price policies such as differential electricity price and ladder electricity price for industries with high energy consumption and high emissions, increase implementation, and promote energy conservation and carbon reduction. In order to promote the transformation and upgrading of industries with high energy consumption and high emissions, in addition to setting emission reduction targets, provinces have imposed punitive measures on enterprises that fail to meet the targets to promote self-innovation and elimination within the industry.

In Jiangsu, iron and steel enterprises that have not completed the transformation according to the requirements of ultra-low emission transformation and failed to meet the standards after the transformation have implemented the measures of increasing the electricity price by stages and layers on the basis of the current electricity price or the market electricity price.

Inner Mongolia continues to implement the step price policy for electrolytic aluminum, cement and steel industries, and the differential price policy for electrolytic aluminum, ferroalloy, calcium carbide, caustic soda, cement, steel, yellow phosphorus and zinc smelting.

Gansu requires power companies to submit the implementation and collection of differential electricity prices in the previous year in January each year.

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Characteristics and Shaping of Youth’s Deep Social Mode

Abstract: Socialization, as a complex social phenomenon, combines multiple elements such as emotional communication, resource sharing and interactive participation. In today’s society, with the continuous upgrading of social tools, some young people’s social desire is declining. They not only try to avoid ineffective social interaction, but also actively seek like-minded "partners". On the one hand, the internal motivation of some young people’s social degradation stems from the increase of alternative choices of intellectual goals and emotional goals, on the other hand, it is the result of the change and evolution of social models in the internet age. In order to improve young people’s deep communication ability, it is necessary to systematically optimize social networks, strengthen the complementarity and integration of online and offline social relations, and then guide young people to shift from self-centered shallow social interaction to deep social interaction with interactive subjects as the core.

Keywords: social degradation, deep communication, weak relationship, light socialization [Chinese library classification number] C913 [document identification code] a

Individuals living in a specific social and cultural environment will inevitably form various relationships and establish various contacts with the surrounding people. At present, with the continuous upgrading of social tools, some young people’s social desire is declining. They not only try to avoid ineffective social interaction, but also actively seek like-minded "partners". More and more "post-90s" and "post-00s" think that they are "afraid of society". "It is difficult to meet friends" has become a normal life, and the agreement of "meeting once in a while" seems extravagant, and making a dinner is a kind of "life-and-death friendship". It is particularly noteworthy that more and more young people "enjoy" living alone. They construct and maintain their social networks through mobile phones, and rely on "partners" to exchange low emotional input for efficient and accurate social feedback. For some young people who have been immersed in weak ties and lightweight social activities for a long time, how to improve their personal deep communication ability has become a problem worth pondering.

The upgrade of social tools and the decline of social desire

Socialization, as a complex social phenomenon, combines multiple elements such as emotional communication, resource sharing and interactive participation. Social culture, as a mirror image of group spirit and values, its evolution is particularly striking. What people want from relationships and whether the content they want will change with the times is an interesting question. As one of the greatest inventions of mankind, the Internet has brought great development and changes to human society. Information is transmitted quickly, communication efficiency is greatly improved, and everyone can become a "protagonist". With the iterative update of social tools, the connection between people becomes closer and closer, and the social network becomes more complex and closely connected. However, the continuous upgrading of social tools has failed to significantly promote the synchronous growth of people’s social ability and desire, on the contrary, it has prompted some young people’s social desire to gradually decline, and shallow and lightweight social interaction has become one of the mainstream phenomena of contemporary youth social interaction. Traditional social communication emphasizes participating in all kinds of social activities, making more contacts, gaining more people’s affirmation, appreciation and support, and seeking the positive effect of self-existence. At present, some young people prefer to avoid ineffective social activities and pursue the balance between depth and quality.

There are rich social capital and interpersonal capital in interpersonal communication and interaction, and individuals need to accumulate these capitals continuously in social life in order to obtain instrumental or emotional social support. The larger the network of interpersonal communication, the richer the interpersonal capital. Of course, in addition to the network scale, network location, network differences, network density, etc. are all manifestations of individual interpersonal capital and social capital. In other words, the higher the network position occupied by individuals, the richer the interpersonal resources; The higher the network density, the stronger the interpersonal resources. Therefore, individual interpersonal capital and social capital need to be established, maintained, mobilized and expanded through interpersonal networks. For example, in the "one cup after another" dinner party, smiling faces, caring and asking questions, pushing cups for a change, and observing the world are all tools and carriers for thickening interpersonal relationships. However, contemporary young people have reservations about this, and they are more inclined to avoid this social form that may bring burdens.

So, do young people really no longer need social interaction? It’s too early to jump to conclusions. The current "partner culture" is an example. There are food partners, travel partners, sports partners, and even baby walkers, shopping partners and weight-loss partners … … Through social platforms, young people can "take" everything. A survey report on young people’s social interaction shows that more than half of them have a partner, while among the 31% young people who don’t, more than half still want a partner. The "partner culture" advocates that you don’t have to be intimate, have a little taste, take it with you, have fun, and don’t have to deliberately and painstakingly maintain mutual friendship, starting with common interests and ending with cooperation. Looking for "partners" is not to socialize with acquaintances, but to socialize lightly with strangers, maintain a certain sense of border with each other, and refuse to be bound by sticky emotions. If traditional interpersonal communication is based on blood, career and geography, then "On the other hand, it is based on the interest margin, with the help of the cross-time platform of the network, and because of the common hobbies and interests, it forms a "social community" with a certain degree of fit. The "partner culture" is more of a fragmented social interaction, which requires time coincidence, space equivalence, free form and simple combination, so the maintenance cost is low and there is no need to invest a lot of time, money and emotional value. These free and casual "partners" can be short-term or long-term, without too much emotional involvement, self-centered, voluntary as the principle, and always to meet their own needs.

Socialization can include both "face to face", that is, face-to-face emotional communication, and "side by side", that is, jointly carrying out activities or completing a cooperation. If the traditional friendship model pays attention to "face to face", the preferred social way for young people today is "shoulder to shoulder". The theory of American psychologist Atkinson and others points out that the motives that affect people’s social interaction are both affinity and intimacy. Affinity needs are the inherent desire of individuals to seek and maintain positive interpersonal relationships. People long for the company of others and are eager to be with others. Intimacy needs to seek higher quality companionship, communication, sharing and disclosure on the basis of affinity needs, which requires the predictability, stability and intimacy of the communication object. If friendship seeking stems from intimacy needs, then the current youth’s preferred social way is based on affinity needs. Although the form has changed, the essence of socialization as a basic human need has not changed, but it is presented in a more diverse and flexible way.

Internal causes of social degradation of some young people

On the one hand, social tools are constantly changing and upgrading, on the other hand, the social desire of young people is quietly declining; On the one hand, young people refuse to socialize ineffectively, on the other hand, they are eager to find a partner. This phenomenon can not help but make people think deeply: does this indicate some alienation of social practice?

The alternative choices of intellectual goals and emotional goals have increased. As a social phenomenon coexisting with human civilization, interpersonal relationship is essentially a psychological contract established by people seeking spiritual resonance and satisfaction in common activities. This kind of contract will show different characteristics with the advancement of human social life cycle. Selman, an American psychologist, found that children are in 3-mdash; When I was 7 years old, I needed temporary playmates without distinction, but my communication was self-centered. After that, it entered the stage of one-way help, and friendship began to be built on the basis of mutual assistance; After entering adolescence, teenagers expect to have deep emotional communication with each other and form close interdependence. In essence, people are social animals, and social communication is very important for human beings, but people’s social interests and social attachment will continue to evolve. People’s social activities can be divided into two goals: one is the goal of knowledge acquisition, which aims to acquire knowledge and information through social activities, plan their careers, establish new social networks, and expect the social relationship to bring compensatory returns in the future; The other is the goal of emotional management, which aims to regulate emotions through social activities, pursue spiritual comfort and satisfaction, and obtain positive emotional value. It is worth noting that under the current background of the times, youth groups have more and more alternative programs in pursuit of these two goals.

On the one hand, the goals pursued by youth groups in social life are more selective, and they give priority to emotional management goals that bring positive value and significance, while social activities aimed at knowledge acquisition goals gradually decrease due to the increase of various alternatives. The Internet has created a brand-new economic model and global market, which has brought great convenience to social life. Smart logistics, sharing economy, online education, information search, online medical care, and even AI assistants can all become personal work assistants, and the user’s stickiness is significantly enhanced. Information that used to be obtained through acquaintance networks can now be easily obtained with one click. With the gradual increase of alternative choices, young people gradually dilute the demand orientation of knowledge acquisition goals in social interaction. Knowledge acquisition, decision-making, information understanding and daily service, which can be generated through interpersonal activities, can be obtained from the network, and it is faster and more convenient without paying interpersonal costs.

On the other hand, although the goal of emotional management is still highly valued among young people, its realization mode is gradually changing to the weak network relationship. Friendship is the interdependence and attachment between individuals, which can provide support and help for each other. Originated from interpersonal attraction, it is a special and scarce emotional resource produced in social communication activities, which is different from general goodwill or appreciation and is an interactive and two-way positive emotion. Friendship needs to maintain trust, trust and talk to each other and express emotional support. As "Internet aborigines", young people grow up with the online world, and the network gives the related individuals more subjectivity and freedom. Some young people living in the digital age are not used to the traditional face-to-face communication, but are more used to looking for emotional sustenance in the online world. Although the light emotional comfort of online social interaction can meet the temporary needs, it is also easy to lead to the establishment of temporary relationships, which may breed emotional indifference. In order to fill the inner emptiness, some young people have to seek more exciting entertainment activities and extreme experiences, which may affect their deep understanding and pursuit of the meaning of life to some extent.

The changes and evolution of social interaction in the Internet age are remarkable and profound. Aristotle believes that friendship can be divided into three types: friendship based on utility, friendship based on pleasure and friendship based on virtue. People are always looking for friendship based on pleasure and friendship based on utility. In the process of China’s social transformation from an agricultural society to a digital society, the choice scope and mode of social relations have undergone essential changes. In agricultural society, people form social ties by blood relationship and clan relationship, support each other at important moments and face the ups and downs of life together. Guan Zhong’s friendship with Bao Shuya, Bo Ya’s friendship with his children, Lian Po’s friendship with Lin Xiangru, paradigm and Zhang Shao’s friendship with chickens and millet, and Yang Jiaoai’s friendship with Zuo Botao & HELIP; … Let people feel the mellow friendship of "a glass of wine in the spring breeze of peaches and plums, a lamp in the night rain of rivers and lakes for ten years", which is characterized by high tacit understanding, high dependence, high commitment, high intimacy and irreplaceability.

It is worth noting that the principles of friendship and socialization are constantly evolving under the influence of culture. Traditional society is based on relationship, and multiple relationships such as consanguinity and geography are intertwined. People seek security and resources in a complex network of relationships. Strong relationships are stable and lasting, so people are willing to make long-term investments in strong relationships. Traditional human relations are based on long-term, stable and harmonious, and follow the norms of human relations. However, the social support power brought by strong relations in modern society is gradually declining, and its reciprocal function is gradually weakening. Human social communication is similar to a complex network structure, which is composed of the relationships between different nodes. Each node is a different individual or organization, and the social network is the social relations and social contacts between people. These relationships and connections, from alienation to closeness, from strangeness to familiarity, are deeply embedded in economic actions. Strong relationships are manifested in people who are closely connected and have more interactions, such as family, friends and close colleagues; Weak relationships are relatively loose, including peers who connect through social media, with limited interaction and low intimacy. However, weak relationships show unique advantages in information transmission and knowledge resource acquisition, and become an important way for information exchange between different groups and organizations. Although the interaction frequency is low, the intimacy and reciprocity are insufficient, the effectiveness of weak relationships in information sharing and interpersonal communication often goes beyond the scope of strong relationships.

The rise of the Internet has changed the way people communicate, broken through the limitation of spatial distance, and provided convenience for the rapid establishment of weak relationships. In this context, friendship, as a strong relationship symbol of long-term commitment, needs a deep emotional foundation and common values; The "partner" has the characteristics of short-term and flexible weak relationship. The strong relationship of long-term commitment needs deep understanding, similar values, education level and intelligence level, mutual friendship needs and attraction, and it takes a certain amount of time and energy to maintain emotional links. However, starting from hobbies, "partners" only need to pay attention to certain costs and risks, and do not need to embed too many responsibilities, obligations and rules. They can not only obtain the expected interpersonal value at a small cost, but also keep in touch with more strangers at the same time, which meets the needs of modern people for fast and convenient social interaction. It can be said that the social trend under the weak relationship tends to be more calm, rational and even a little rough, which reflects the diversity and complexity of social relations in the internet age.

How do young people improve their ability of deep communication?

Relationship, as one of people’s basic needs, profoundly affects people’s cognitive model, emotional state and behavior choice. As Marx pointed out: "The essence of human beings is not an abstract thing inherent in a single person. In reality, it is the sum of all social relations. " Man is neither an abstract person nor a person in the biological sense of pure nature, but the sum of social relations, so he must be in a certain social relationship and interpersonal relationship and become a practical, living and realistic person. China is undergoing a profound social transformation. Do young people still need deep communication in the current situation of weak relationship and light social interaction? How to improve the ability of deep communication?

Systematically optimize social networks. From the perspective of social communication structure, any communication has two dimensions: time and space, and the time dimension is related to the continuity of communication, that is, people expect the long-term or short-term communication time; Spatial dimension is reflected in individual selectivity. The traditional communication mode is characterized by the fixed relationship between long-range and low selectivity and the friendship relationship between long-range and high selectivity. Long-term fixed relationship pays attention to the permanence of relationship and emphasizes the persistence of emotion; The short-range agreement emphasizes the value of cooperation at this moment, and pays attention to mind and freedom, communication and contract, equality and cooperation. In modern society, people pursue self-independence and are eager to keep a certain distance from others, but they still need a lot of emotional satisfaction and warmth that can only be conveyed by people present. Therefore, we should strike a clever balance between short-range and long-range, which requires both short-range contractual communication and long-range friendship, and systematically optimize social networks to alleviate the loneliness of modern people.

Online and offline, strong and weak relationships overlap with each other. Strong relationship and weak relationship, online and offline, are not independent of each other, but can produce compensation effect. If the strong relationship is emotional and the weak relationship is intellectual, then the social relationship of young people should constantly strengthen the overlap of weak relationship and strong relationship, and the complementarity of online relationship and offline relationship. Strong relationships are stable and profound, provide important emotional needs to meet, and weak relationships are heterogeneous, which can realize rapid information transmission and accelerate the expansion of social relationships, especially the role of information sharing between organizations is remarkable. Instead of replacing offline social interaction, online social interaction has broken the geographical and spatial restrictions to a certain extent, and at the same time, it can further improve the quality of communication, increase the frequency of interpersonal interaction and broaden the scope of offline communication.

From self-centered shallow socialization to deep socialization of interactive subjects. Liang Shuming said in the book "The Essentials of China Culture": "When a person is born, there will be people (parents, brothers, etc.) related to him, and he will always live in the department related to others (can not be separated from society), so that we can know that life actually exists on various relationships … … When you come out to the society, you have mentors and apprentices in teaching; In the economy, there are east partners; In politics, there are officials, officials and people; Usually go back and forth more, support each other in times of trouble, and have neighbors and friends. With the development of a person’s age and life, there is an endless relationship between them in all directions. " The important value of deep communication lies in forming a stable emotional contract. The closer the interpersonal relationship is, the more stable the social and psychological support individuals feel. In modern society, emotional transmission and emotional satisfaction still have important value, which can maximize the positive emotional experience and reduce the risk of negative emotions. In other words, people who have more high-quality intimate relationships have a better quality of life and are more likely to have a longer life track. Studies have found that social interaction can improve people’s health and happiness, because it helps the endocrine system, blood circulation system and immune system of both parties. On the contrary, isolated and lonely individuals often feel unhappy.

To sum up, the starting point of shallow socialization is self, and the ultimate demand is self-satisfaction, while deep socialization is interactive. In addition to considering the pleasure and comfort of self, we should also take into account the feelings and emotions of others, and we need to reach understanding and love in empathy. People form noble character in the process of dedication, care, responsibility, respect and understanding, which is a reflection and answer to self-survival. This also reflects what Marx said, "Only love can be exchanged for love, and only trust can be exchanged for trust".

(The author is a professor and doctoral supervisor at the School of Social Studies, Nankai University)

[Note: This article is the phased achievement of the key project of the National Social Science Foundation (project number: 21ASH011)]

[References]

(1) [English] David Frisbie, translated by Lu Huilin, Zhou Yi and Li Linyan: Fragments of Modernity: Modernity Theory Collected by Zimmel, kracauer and Benjamin, Beijing: Commercial Press, 2013.

② Zhai Xuewei: Social Trust in Chinese: An Investigation in the Dimension of Relationship, Beijing: Commercial Press, 2022.

③ [America] The Art of Love by Eyerich Fromm and translated by Liu Futang, Shanghai: Shanghai Translation Publishing House, 2018.

④ Don’t ask your name, don’t be intimate, accompany accurately and share information — — Have you ever tried "socializing with children"? ",Guangming. com, March 20, 2024.

⑤ Deng Xiquan: Historical Mission of China Youth in the New Era, People’s Forum, No.9, 2023.

⑥ The Rise of Partner Culture Young people in China are keen on "light socialization", China News Network, February 28th, 2024.

⑦ Guangming. com Commentator: How can "Everything Can Be Built" become popular? Guangming. com, December 14, 2023.

Editor/Sun Kemei Editor/Chen Yuanyuan

Disclaimer: This article is the original content of People’s Forum Magazine. Any unit or individual should reply to this micro-signal for authorization, and be sure to indicate the source and author when reprinting, otherwise legal responsibility will be investigated.

Brazil has reported 13 cases of H5N1 avian influenza.

　　Sao Paulo, May 29 (Reporter Lin Chunyin) On the evening of the 29th local time, the Brazilian Ministry of Agriculture and Animal Husbandry announced that Nandahe State reported the first case of H5N1 avian influenza in the state. So far, 13 cases of H5N1 avian influenza have been reported in Brazil.

　　The bird flu case reported this time was found in the wild bird black-necked swan in the Taimu Ecological Reserve in Nandahe Prefecture, which was closed on the 26th local time. According to the announcement, one case of H5N1 avian influenza occurred in tern was also reported in Rio de Janeiro and the state of Santa Espiritu.

　　On the 15th local time, Brazil reported the first case of bird flu. On the 22nd, Brazil entered a six-month animal health emergency. So far, 13 cases of H5N1 avian influenza have been reported in Brazil, including 9 cases in Santa Espiritu, 3 cases in Rio de Janeiro and 1 case in Nanda River.

　　The Brazilian federal government also announced on the same day that H5N1 avian influenza will not be transmitted by eating poultry or eggs, and the consumption of meat and eggs is still safe in the country. He also stressed that human infection with avian influenza virus is mainly through direct contact with infected birds, and appealed to the public to avoid contact with sick birds.

Attention! These registration information in October is very important.

　　According to "Capital Education" WeChat WeChat official account News, it has been five days since the registration for the 2023 National Postgraduate Entrance Examination in Beijing. Have you signed up yet? In addition to the postgraduate entrance examination registration, this October, there are also the following examinations to start registration, registration and written examination. Let’s take a look:

　　According to the Regulations on the Administration of National Postgraduate Enrollment in 2023,5-25 October 2022Candidates can log on to the National Postgraduate Entrance Examination Online Registration Platform (website: https://yz.chsi.com.cn/) to formally register online for the research and recruitment examination, and the registration time is from 9: 00 to 22: 00 every day.

　　After selecting candidates from various registration sites in Beijing and submitting online newspaper information,Before the deadline for online registration (22:00 on October 25th, 2022), the initial trial fee shall be paid by online payment.After the payment is successful, candidates must also confirm online within the specified time at the registration point, otherwise the registration will be invalid.

　　According to the work arrangement, all the registration points in Beijing are confirmed online.The online confirmation time will be completed before November 5, 2022.The specific time is subject to the announcement of the registration point.

　　According to the "Announcement on the Registration of Written Examination for Qualification Examination of Primary and Secondary School Teachers in Beijing in the Second Half of 2022",In the second half of the year, the written qualification test for primary and secondary school teachers in Beijing will be held on October 29th.

　　Print admission ticket time:

　　Candidates can log on to the primary and secondary school teacher qualification examination network from October 25 to October 29, 2022, and print the admission ticket according to the prompts. Website: http://ntce.neea.edu.cn

　　Examination subjects and schedule:

　　The written examination public subjects I and II of the candidates majoring in music, physical education and aesthetics are coded separately (corresponding subject codes: 201A, 202A, 301A, 302A). Candidates who have passed the subjects 201A, 202A, 301A and 302A are only allowed to participate in the professional subjects of music, physical education and beauty in the corresponding study section; Candidates have obtained qualified scores in subjects 201, 202, 301 and 302, which can replace qualified scores in subjects 201A, 202A, 301A and 302A. Candidates have obtained qualified scores in subjects 201A, 202A, 301A and 302A, which cannot be replaced by qualified scores in subjects 201, 202, 301 and 302.

　　According to the notice issued by Beijing Education Examinations Institute, the situation of epidemic prevention and control in COVID-19 is still complicated and severe recently. In order to obey the overall situation of epidemic prevention and control in the capital and effectively protect the life safety and health of the majority of candidates and examination staff, it was originally scheduled to be held on October 22 and 23, 2022.The Beijing Higher Education Self-study Examination was postponed to April 2023.

　　The written test course will be postponed until next April.In October, 2022, the Beijing Higher Education Self-study Examination was postponed to April, 2023. On the basis of the original April 15th and 16th, 2023, the examination time of April 22nd and 23rd was increased, which was used to arrange the October examination subjects that were not repeated in April, so as to ensure the full coverage of the examination subjects.

　　Non-written courses are conducted normally.In the second half of 2022, the exams for non-written and practical courses will be arranged normally as planned. See the notice of the relevant examiner school for details.

　　According to previous arrangements,Navy recruitment in Beijing will start in October..Civil aviation recruitment will also be launched in October and November., including civil aviation university of china, China Civil Aviation Flight Academy, Beihang University, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics and other universities, as well as China International Airlines, China Eastern Airlines and China Southern Airlines.

　　Among them, civil aviation recruitment refers to the recruitment of flight students by the flight technology major (undergraduate) in ordinary colleges and universities, which meets the requirements of the college entrance examination, the age of recruitment, the physical examination and appraisal standards for recruitment and the requirements of civil aviation background investigation. Graduates of the class of 2023 who are interested in civil aviation can participate in civil aviation recruitment. Please log in to China Civil Aviation Recruitment Information System for registration.

　　Candidates can pay attention to the notice of the relevant enrollment units in time, or log on to Sunshine College Entrance Examination Network (website: https://gaokao.chsi.com.cn/) and Beijing Education Examinations Institute Network (website: https://www.bjeea.cn/) and apply for the exam in time according to the enrollment policy issued by the enrollment institutions.

　　On September 30th, the National Civil Service Bureau published it on its official website.The central authorities and their directly affiliated institutions will register civil servants for the 2023 annual examination and notice the written examination time.

　　According to the work arrangement, the central authorities and their directly affiliated institutions will employ civil servants in the 2023 annual examination.Registration began on October 25th.The written test will be held from December 3 rd to 4 th. Please pay attention to the candidates at that time.

After 20 years, the advantage of the marine economy has become the leading power-Zhejiang’s practice of prospering to the sea

　　Hangzhou, Nov. 24 (Xinhuanet)-The length of coastline ranks first in China, and the number of islands ranks first in China. This is the natural advantage given to Zhejiang by the ocean, and it also makes the concept of coordinating land and sea and developing marine economy deeply rooted in Zhijiang.

　　The freighter docked at Chuanshan Port Area of Zhoushan Port in Ningbo to load and unload goods. Xinhua News Agency reporter Weng Yushe

　　The vast East China Sea stands bravely at the head of the tide.

　　"Give full play to the advantages of Zhejiang’s mountain and sea resources, vigorously develop the marine economy, promote the leap-forward development of underdeveloped areas, and strive to make the development of marine economy and underdeveloped areas a new growth point of Zhejiang’s economy", which is one of the important contents of the "Eighth Five-Year Strategy" made by the Fourth Plenary Session of the Eleventh Zhejiang Provincial Committee in July 2003. The Zhejiang Ocean Economic Work Conference held in August of the same year officially kicked off Zhejiang’s accelerated construction of a strong marine economy province.

　　In the past 20 years, Zhejiang has anchored its goals, pursued the road of high-quality development of marine economy, and formed a good pattern of marine economic development with the construction of a world-class marine port as the guide, the construction of a modern marine industrial system as the driving force, and the strengthening of marine science and education and the construction of ecological civilization as the support.

　　Prosperous to the sea, the blue channel expands its opening up.

　　More than 1000 years ago, porcelain produced in Longquan, Zhejiang Province was at an important node of the Maritime Silk Road — — Wenzhou Shuomen ancient port changed ships to go to sea and go to the world; Nowadays, Brazilian iron ore, Australian wheat, Argentine corn, Yiwu small commodities and Ningbo mechanical and electrical products all meet in Zhoushan Port, Ningbo. At the side of the huge ship full of imported and exported goods in the middle of the night, steel machines and workers have a tacit understanding.

　　The port is the hub connecting land and sea, and a series of blue passages on the sea have become the new growth pole of Zhejiang, a small province with land resources. The cargo ships, trucks and busy cranes coming and going show the pulse and surging power of the economy. In 2022, the cargo throughput of Zhoushan Port in Ningbo exceeded 1.25 billion tons, ranking first in the world for 14 consecutive years; The container throughput reached 33.35 million TEUs, ranking third in the world.

　　Ningbo Zhoushan Port passes through the dock of Zhoushan Port Area. Xinhua News Agency reporter Wei Yijun photo

　　Relying on the port and dock logistics, Zhoushan has established a large-scale grain and oil industrial base integrating various service functions such as bulk grain and oil transit logistics, warehousing and processing transactions.

　　At the Laotangshan Phase III Wharf of Zhoushan International Grain and Oil Industry Park, the bulk carrier Yunlong Feng, carrying 63,000 tons of Brazilian soybeans, is unloading, slimming down and sailing into the Yangtze River for Taizhou, Jiangsu.

　　Laotangshan Port Area is the largest grain entry port in East China and the throat of grain import in the Yangtze River Basin. At present, there are more than 40 grain and oil processing, warehousing and logistics trade enterprises in the park, with an annual grain processing capacity of 2.8 million tons. In 2022, the import grain transit logistics volume will reach 25 million tons, accounting for 17% of the national imported grain.

　　From logistics to industry, the development of Zhoushan International Grain and Oil Industrial Park has become a microcosm of Zhejiang’s prosperity to the sea. According to statistics, Zhejiang’s total marine production increased from 58 billion yuan in 2002 to 1,035.5 billion yuan in 2022, with an average annual growth rate of 15.5%, and its marine economic strength ranked first in the country.

　　In the past 20 years, Zhejiang has made full use of the advantages of port logistics, continuously enlarged the advantages of "sea", continuously accelerated the development of large ports, built large passages, developed large logistics, and formed Ningbo — Zhoushan deep-water port is the hub, Wenzhou, Jiaxing and Taizhou ports are the backbone, and the coastal port system, modern logistics system and industrial system closely related to port logistics are based on various small and medium-sized ports.

　　In 2021, Zhejiang Province issued the "Fourteenth Five-Year Plan" for the development of marine economy, aiming to cultivate a modern port and shipping logistics service cluster with a level of 100 billion. By 2035, it will form a port-facing industrial cluster with great international influence and build a world-class strong port.

　　Construction site of girder erection of Jintang Bridge over Binhai Interchange in Ningbo Phase I of Hangzhou-Ningbo Double Track. Xinhuanet issued Yao Feng photo

　　Waterways are developing, and land is also being opened up. From Zhenhai, Ningbo to Zhoushan, Jintang Bridge, Xihoumen Bridge, Taoyaomen Bridge and Fuchimen Bridge are connected along the way, which makes Zhoushan change the history of "hanging an island on the sea".

　　On December 29th, 2021, the main channel project of Ningbo Zhoushan Port was completed and opened to traffic. The construction mileage of Zhoushan Liandao Expressway reached 74 kilometers, spanning 8 islands, making it the longest Liandao Expressway and the largest cross-sea bridge group in China. At present, the construction of Ningbo-Zhoushan Railway is also under intense progress, and the completion of this railway will end the history of Zhoushan’s impassable railway.

　　The land and sea corridor is "one connection and one hundred connections", and major infrastructure projects related to the overall situation have been completed one by one, and the cornerstone supporting the leap-forward development of the blue economy has become more and more stable.

　　Stronger to the sea, the upgrading of traditional industries.

　　In the southern waters of Zhoushan Archipelago, an island with a land area of 140 square kilometers — — Liuheng Island is experiencing the upgrading of the traditional marine economic industry.

　　"Three of the top ten shipyards in the world are gathered in Liuheng Island." Yan Haibin, director of the Shipbuilding Industry Department of Zhoushan Economic and Information Bureau, said that ship repair is an important pillar industry in Zhoushan and a traditional marine economic industry. Zhoushan currently has the capacity to build 7 million deadweight tons and repair 3,000 ships of various types with an annual capacity of more than 10,000 tons. The number of ship repairs for five consecutive years accounts for more than one third of the country.

　　However, the shipbuilding industry has always been burdened with the reputation of "3D" (Dangerous, Difficult and Dirty). "In the past, the oil pollution in the shipyard was relatively heavy, and the dust generated by the ship repair method of sandblasting and derusting was particularly high." Wang Junting, the head of Zhoushan Xinya Shipbuilding Co., Ltd., which ranks among the top in the world in 2022, said that transformation and upgrading is the only way to continue to be strong.

　　All shipyards on Liuheng Island have challenged the traditional production and operation methods of ship repair, and comprehensively started the reform of sand blasting and rust removal alternative technology.

　　Walking by the dock of Zhoushan COSCO Shipping Heavy Industry Co., Ltd., workers can be seen everywhere, either operating the handle or manipulating the crane truck. By controlling the ultra-high pressure water jet derusting equipment through the terminal, there is no rolling dust or pungent smell, and there is no large amount of residual iron sand at the dock bottom, so the dirt and rust attached to the hull of the ship plate are removed.

　　"The transformation of operation mode has brought greater economic benefits, the unit operation efficiency has increased by nearly three times, and more than 42,000 tons of copper ore have been saved in one year." Zhou Jianhua, general manager of Zhoushan COSCO Shipping Heavy Industry Co., Ltd. said.

　　The East China Sea "fished small", while Qian Fan was busy at sea. Xinhua News Agency reporter Xu Yushe

　　In addition to the shipbuilding industry, traditional industries such as fishing, aquaculture, and port-based industries, which were originally born on the sea, have all ushered in industrial upgrading under the joint action of industrial structure transformation, scientific and technological strength support, and trade policy optimization.

　　In the past, Zhoushan people who "eat the sea by the sea" often studied how to catch more fish in one net; Nowadays, Zhoushan people are thinking about how to maximize the value of a fish and tap new economic growth points of fisheries.

　　In the workshop of Zhoushan Evergreen Ocean Food Co., Ltd., the original seafood raw material of about 4,000 yuan per ton was processed into peptide powder of 100,000 yuan per ton through protein peptide extraction technology, which was sold well in the consumer market of health care products.

　　From longing for the economic benefits of "a net fish" to exploring the multiple added values of "a fish", this is the change brought about by the continuous promotion of marine economic development by the "Eighth Five-Year Plan", and the development of emerging marine industries is changing from "waves and flowers" to a surging trend.

　　By the end of 2019, the first phase of Zhoushan Green Petrochemical Base, the single industry project with the largest investment in the world, was fully put into operation; On February 24, 2022, Endeavour, the world’s largest single-unit tidal power generator set, was successfully launched in Xiushan Island, Zhoushan, and the continuous operation time of LHD tidal power project remained the first in the world.

　　Zhoushan green petrochemical base. Xinhua News Agency reporter Jia Yutian photo

　　In the past 20 years, the baton of developing marine economy in Zhejiang has been passed on, fully tapping "marine productivity", vigorously developing modern marine industries such as marine equipment, island tourism and offshore fishing, and starting a new engine for the development of blue economy.

　　"In ‘ August 8th Strategy ’ Under the guidance of, we have gradually clarified the direction of adapting to local conditions and developing the marine economy. It is a long-term systematic project to realize all-round, multi-angle and full-chain transformation and upgrading. In the future, we will continue to anchor the positioning of the new highland of modern marine industry and fully promote the marine economy. A broader new world. " Sun Zhilong, secretary of the Putuo District Party Committee of Zhoushan City, said.

　　Born to the sea, the sea and people are harmonious and build ecological beauty together.

　　Driving through the "Moon Ring" Xuanmenwan Bridge in Yuhuan City, the wetland parks on both sides are sparkling, and 256 species of birds will live here, making it one of the best viewing spots for migratory birds along the East China Sea.

　　In the 1970s, in order to get rid of the real dilemma of lacking arable land and fresh water, Yuhuan people almost completely relied on human resources to level half of the mountain, threw more than 520,000 square stones into the rapids, and built a dam connecting the island and the land. A 12-meter-wide dam has become an important channel to support the rapid development of local economy and society, making small island counties become the top 100 counties in China.

　　However, the negative impact of the dam has gradually emerged: because the dam blocks the ocean currents, the eutrophication of the water in the bay has increased and the aquatic species resources have shrunk.

　　It is imperative to withdraw the dam. In 2017, the Yuhuan Municipal Party Committee and the Municipal Government proposed a plan to build a bridge and remove the dam; In June, 2021, Xuanmenwan Bridge, which was built in parallel with the dam, was officially opened to traffic, and the two-way six-lane traffic greatly improved the traffic efficiency.

　　Liu Shijin, a citizen of Yuhuan who participated in the dam construction survey that year, said that the dam was built for development in the past, but now it is withdrawn for longer-term development. "Leisure citizens and tourists can be seen everywhere along the wetland coast, and homestay camping is very prosperous." Statistics show that this year’s "May 1" and "Eleventh" holidays, the "upgraded" Xuanmen Bay Scenic Area has received more than 70,000 tourists.

　　Scenery on both sides of Xuanmen Bay. Xinhuanet issued Yuhuan Municipal Committee Propaganda Department for the picture

　　In line with the changing thinking of the times, Yuhuan story is not an isolated case in Zhejiang in the choice of improving the relationship between people and sea. At the end of 2020, the head of Lingni levee was demolished in Dongtou, Wenzhou to make way for migratory fish; At the beginning of 2022, Fenghua, Ningbo, cleared the beach and returned the mackerel to a stable home … … Along the coastline of more than 6,700 kilometers, the practice of harmonious development of human and sea is everywhere in Zhejiang.

　　In July, 2020, Wenzhou Dongtou Blue Bay Renovation Action Project was selected as the only case of marine ecological restoration among the top ten cases by the Ministry of Natural Resources. The 302 islands in Dongtou are also continuously exploring the transformation channel of the "two mountains concept" in the blue sea.

　　Chen Xuyang, director of Dongtou Branch of Wenzhou Ecological Environment Bureau, Zhejiang Province, said that not long ago, six financial institutions led by China Development Bank signed a loan contract of 2.3 billion yuan with Dongtou District of Wenzhou in 2023, marking the settlement of the first batch of EOD projects of marine ecological restoration in China (eco-environment-oriented development model), which solved the problems of financing difficulties in previous eco-environmental governance projects, and promoted industrial development through governance, which will further amplify the attraction of "sea gardens".

　　Pheasants in Hangzhou Bay Wetland Park. Photo courtesy of Zhejiang Hangzhou Bay National Wetland Park by Xinhuanet

　　From demanding space and resources from the ocean to building a harmonious concept of ocean development, Zhejiang has put ecological civilization construction in a prominent position, from point to point, land and sea linkage, taking hard measures, seeking practical results, strengthening law enforcement and supervision of sea islands, continuously organizing and implementing the "Blue Bay" rectification action and coastal protection and restoration projects, and building a blue ecological hard barrier.

　　Since 2020, Zhejiang has taken the lead in establishing the first provincial comprehensive evaluation index system for marine ecology; Take the lead in controlling the total amount of pollutants entering the sea and piloting the marine ecological red line system; Implement the establishment of a global marine ecological construction demonstration zone & HELIP; …

　　In order to protect marine ecology at a higher level, up to now, Zhejiang has formed "a book", "a picture" and "a table" of ecological risks at the provincial, municipal and county levels, comprehensively grasping the ecological background and forming a new pattern of marine ecological protection and restoration.

　　

　　Planning: Wu Huanqing, Chu Xuejun, Qian Tong

　　Producer: Yuan Zhenyu and Zhou Hongjun.

　　Execution: Liao Xiaohua, Wan Fang

　　Coordinator: Weng Jing and Ma Jiang.

　　Text reporters: Yuan Zhenyu, Huang Xiao, Wu Shuaishuai, Lin Guangyao

　　Poster design: Guo Yanting

　　Editor: Wang Ying, Wang Ya, Guo Yanting

　　Xinhua News Agency Zhejiang Branch Xinhuanet jointly produced.

A Fangirl’s Romance pre-sale opens Vision Wei’s theme song exposure MV


1905 movie network news The film starring producer, director, special actor, special actor, special actor, special actor and friendship actor will be released nationwide on May 28th. The movie A Fangirl’s Romance released the theme song "Meet the Most Beautiful You" MV sung by singer Vision Wei, which once again increased the popularity before the film was released. On May 21st, the pre-sale in A Fangirl’s Romance has been started. On May 28th, I went to the cinema with my mother to feel my mother’s different youth.


Vision Wei, a powerful idol, sings with passion.　

NI YAN Zhou Dongyu meets the most beautiful love through memories.


The movie A Fangirl’s Romance finally released the theme song "Meet the Most Beautiful You" MV, and the powerful idol Vision Wei not only starred in the movie, but also sang this affectionate masterpiece. Once the MV went online, it touched many netizens: "The MV screen is so beautiful, I look forward to the movie!" "I got it! ! Ask for a movie! " In the MV, the love between Zhou Dongyu and Vision Wei, which transcends reality and memories, can be described as an appetite-raising, which fills the audience’s expectations for the film.


In the MV "Meet the Most Beautiful You", Vision Wei’s clean and affectionate voice tells the story, singing the deep love of two people that remains unchanged after 20 years. From the perspective of the heroine Gao Bei, the MV depicts the passionate love between the young Gao Bei (Zhou Dongyu) and the singer-in-residence (Vision Wei), which has never been forgotten even if they are separated. It also shows the deep love and helplessness of these two people for more than 20 years through Vision Wei’s gentle and tactful singing. The lyrics of the whole song are closely related to the theme of the movie and their emotional lines. "I can’t hear how noisy the world is, but my heart is still beating when I am sad."


A Fangirl’s Romance recalled her mother’s youthful love.　

Twenty-year-long memory and reality cross each other and cause emotional resonance.


The MV "Meet the Most Beautiful You" shows the helplessness and miss of young people’s impulsive and hot love because of the teasing of fate. In the MV, after Zhou Dongyu and Vision Wei were laughing at the seaside and kissing each other in the wooden house, the picture came to middle-aged Gao Bei (NI YAN) who went back to rehearse the lonely wooden house and looked out of the window. Gao Bei and her lover Tayu Lo were separated in the ups and downs of fate. In the 1990s, when mobile communication was underdeveloped, this miss was twenty years. Desperate and helpless in love are separated, which resonates with the audience with real emotional changes.


Different from previous films about mothers, A Fangirl’s Romance didn’t blindly portray the mother’s efforts and difficulties, but broke the rules of the identity of "mother". Instead, he chose to tell the story of a "sister-obsessed" mother, using her seemingly crazy experience in idolize to let her son find the story of her youth. This kind of setting will express the slightly heavy topic of maternal love easily and humorously, which is full of fun. It can be seen from the previews released before and the movie pictures released in the MV that there is not only the youthful and sweet interaction between Gao Bei and Tayu Lo when they were young, but also Gao Bei’s persistence in love and resistance to life after their separation. The passage of time and the joke of fate did not erase Gao Bei’s pursuit of life and love. Even if there is only one person, she will live a prosperous life. This is the difference between the movie A Fangirl’s Romance and family movies. I look forward to seeing you and your mother walk into the cinema on May 28th and feel the past of your mother’s youth.


A Fangirl’s Romance, starring NI YAN, Zhou Dongyu and Vision Wei, Peter, Jim and Guo Shutong, Amanda and Huang Jue, and Liu Xunzimo and Kodak, will be warmly released on May 28th.


After fighting for more than half a month, the rebel-held area in the Philippines has doubled.

Xinhua News Agency reported on June 13th that Philippine President Duterte ordered a 60-day martial law in Mindanao and other areas in the southern Philippines on May 23rd, and the country’s military and police are now fighting fiercely with the anti-government armed forces "Maute" and Abu Sayyaf, which are loyal to the extremist organization "Islamic State" (IS).

The Philippine military revealed that anti-government militants currently control 20% of Malawi, which is twice as much as the 10% mentioned last week. It seems unlikely that the government forces will end this encirclement and suppression in a short time. In addition, since the conflict broke out on May 23, the total number of casualties in Malawi conflict has exceeded 200, and tens of thousands of people have been displaced.

The rebel-controlled area of the Philippines doubled in half a month.

IS, through its propaganda agency Amaq, said that the Philippine military’s action to recover Malawi had "completely failed". It said: "IS militants currently occupy more than two-thirds of Malawi, and the military has become increasingly unable to control the situation."

Padia, a spokesman for the Philippine military, responded yesterday, calling the report by Amak News Agency "pure propaganda".

On June 3, in Malawi, Mindanao, southern Philippines, the Philippine Marine Corps searched along the street (Source: Xinhua News Agency)

Padia just said a week ago that the government forces have recovered 90% of Malawi, and 10% of the anti-government militants are in the city center.

So, how many places do IS militants control in Malawi?

For this question, the answer of West Mindanao Military Command Minister Javiz is: 20%.

He told Reuters: "Among the 96 neighboring districts in Malawi, militants control several commercial districts such as Marinao, Lulute, Mapandi and Pengolo, which account for 20% of the whole Malawi … This range is shrinking every day."

Former Commander-in-Chief of Philippine Army: Insurgents can still enter and leave Malawi at will.

The war in Malawi has entered its fourth week. Yesterday (13th) morning, guns continued to be heard in the city center, and the Philippine military constantly attacked militants with mortars and helicopter machine guns.

Malawi, a city with a majority of Muslims, originally had a population of 200,000. Most of the residents have fled since the armed elements of Ma Wude started the rebellion. The Philippine military estimates that there are still about 1,000 civilians trapped in the city.

Padia said that it is estimated that there are still about 100 militants fighting against government forces, which is much less than the initial 400 to 500 militants; However, due to the complex terrain in the downtown area where the militants are hiding, it is difficult for the government forces to attack, so it is too late to annihilate them all. "The security forces can’t fully attack because there may be civilians in the city, and the militants may use these civilians as human shields."

Biazon, former commander-in-chief of the Philippine Army, said in an interview with ABS-CBN, a Philippine TV station, on Monday (12th) that the main reason why government forces have been unable to regain control of Malawi is that the city’s borders control evacuation, and insurgents can enter and leave the city at will.

As of yesterday (13th), the war has killed 58 security forces and 26 civilians. However, Amak News Agency reported that at least 200 government troops have been killed, and many soldiers have abandoned their weapons and abandoned their posts to escape, so that militants can get weapons "supply".

The militants released prisoners to replenish their troops.

Malawi’s conflict lasted for a long time and the number of casualties exceeded expectations. Many reasons leveled the strength contrast between the two sides and escalated to a fierce battle.

Philippine government forces are not good at urban warfare, but pay attention to field operations, which are smooth with fire support, and often fall short of standards when fire support is insufficient.

Xinhua News Agency reporters have watched the joint exercises between the Philippines and the US military. The combat form is usually supported by rockets and heavy artillery, and the troops are in a state of surprise. However, in this Malawi conflict, in order to avoid causing a large number of civilian casualties, it is difficult for the Philippine government forces to use fire support such as heavy artillery, and even when using fire support, it is necessary to pay attention to prevent accidental injury to friendly troops. In the battle on June 1, the military accidentally bombed during the air raid, killing 11 government soldiers.

The militants are unscrupulous, and there are foreign armed men from Saudi Arabia, Chechnya and other regions, who are familiar with urban warfare. In addition, many members of Abu Sayyaf returned from Afghanistan and are also familiar with urban warfare.

Second, the military underestimated the number of militants. After Isnilon Hapilon and Mute occupied the prison in Malawi, they released the prisoners in the prison and got a lot of manpower to supplement them. In addition, the base of "Mute" organization is in South Lanao Province, where Malawi is located, which is very convenient for reinforcements. It is understood that Hapilon is the main leader of extremist organizations in Southeast Asian countries, and he is also the target of the State Council’s $5 million reward. At least 10 anti-government armed forces in the Philippines have formed an alliance, and Hapilon has served as the leader of the alliance.

Xinhua News Agency: There is hope for calm.

Xinhua News Agency said that although the conflict continued and caused heavy casualties, the situation in the southern Philippines was still different from that in the war-torn Middle East.

First of all,The cooperation between the two anti-government organizations and the Philippine government has made many people see the hope of resolving the conflict..

Under the government’s political offensive, the Moro National Liberation Front, as one of the two major anti-government armed forces in the southern Philippines, announced that it would send 2,000 troops to join the government forces in cracking down on Hapilon and Mute.

Another major anti-government armed force, the Moro Islamic Liberation Front, also cooperated with the government and acted as a neutral to mediate between the warring parties during the Malawi conflict.

Secondly, Xinhua News Agency reported that the Philippine military confirmed on June 10 that,The US military has been involved in the anti-terrorism operation in the Philippines.It provided "technical support and intelligence assistance" for the clean-up operations in the Philippines.

Screenshot of Philippine media reports

The Associated Press also reported on June 10th that the Philippine military had "called for help" from the US military, that the US ground troops had entered the urban area of Malawi, and that the US Navy’s P-3C patrol aircraft began to be stationed over Malawi. Mindanao, where Malawi is located, is a region with fierce ethnic and religious contradictions. Previously, the US military had deployed special forces in Mindanao for a long time to help the Philippine government control the regional situation.

However, there are still doubts about whether the US military will send ground troops. Philippine military spokesman Joe Al Herrera said at a press conference held in Malawi on the 10th that the US special forces provided "technical support" to the Philippine military, but did not participate in ground operations.

On June 6th, as part of the anti-terrorism assistance program to the Philippines, the US special forces handed over hundreds of weapons and equipment such as machine guns, pistols and grenade launchers to the Philippine Marine Corps, which also confirmed the activity of the US special forces in the southern Philippines.

In addition, the rapid rise of extremist organizations in the southern Philippines was also related to the political situation in the Philippines. At the end of former President Aquino III’s administration, the Basic Law of Bangsamoro, which was highly anticipated by many southern Muslims, failed to be passed in Congress, which angered many centrists and some moderate Muslims and led to the pursuit of armed independence of extremist organizations.

At present, the federalism promoted by the current Philippine President Duterte will give Muslims more rights and effectively attract them to adopt cooperative ways to solve problems.In view of the fact that the main forces in the southern Philippines have no action or will to intensify the conflict, it is difficult for Abu Sayyaf and Mut to fish in troubled waters and take advantage of the situation..

However, it IS worth noting that IS is increasing its investment in the southern Philippines. Indonesian Defense Minister Ryacudu said on the 4th that according to Indonesia’s information, there are about 1,200 IS members active in the Philippines.

Prevent Philippine terrorists from infiltrating Indonesia and plan to build more military bases on outlying islands.

Recently, the threat of terrorISm faced by Southeast Asian countries is increasing day by day. Countries are worried that IS, which was defeated by the United States-led Coalition forces in Iraq and Syria, may move to Southeast Asia and establish a new base in Mindanao, which will threaten the security of the whole Southeast Asia.

To this end, the Indonesian military and police have also stepped up their security alert.

According to Xinhua News Agency on the 11th, in order to prevent the infiltration of terrorists, Indonesia, a country of thousands of islands, announced on the 8th that it would build more military bases on outlying islands, including Morotai Island near Mindanao in the southern Philippines.

The Jakarta Post reported that Gato Nurman Tiyo, commander of Indonesian armed forces, said that the military would build a military base on Morotai Island in the northern part of Maluku province, aiming at preventing terrorists from fleeing into the country in the southern Philippines. He added that after the new military base is built, the equipment will be gradually transported there.

Indonesian antara News Agency quoted President Joko as saying that the construction of the military base on Morotai Island will be gradually advanced. Indonesia is building a military base on Grand Natuna Island in Riau Islands province. Zoco said: "At present, our focus is on the military base on Grand Natuna Island. After the completion of this project, we will focus on building the military base on Morotai Island."

The fuse of Malawi conflict

Xinhua News Agency reported that on May 23rd, local military and police in Malawi began to search for the leader of the anti-government organization Abu Sayyaf, Hapilon. Hapilon IS an important target on the State Council’s most wanted list and an important agent of IS in the southern Philippines.

To the surprise of the military and police, an arrest operation quickly escalated into a large-scale conflict: armed elements led by Hapilon occupied important institutions such as the municipal government, prisons, hospitals and churches, and kidnapped citizens as hostages; The Army’s 103rd Brigade barracks stationed outside Malawi were also attacked by the anti-government armed group Mute, an ally of Hapilon who had sworn allegiance to IS.

At the beginning of the conflict, militants occupied a considerable advantage, and even set up cards in the streets to intercept and kill local police. However, with the arrival of reinforcements from the Philippine government forces, the situation changed, the militants were gradually compressed into part of the city, and the exits of Malawi were blocked by government forces.

According to Philippine Defense Minister Lorenzana, the militants came from four organizations, of which 250 to 300 people participated in the war. Abu Sayyaf militants led by Hapilon are relatively capable, with 50 to 100 people; There are 80 reinforcements from two other rebels.

After 21 days of fighting, according to official statistics, 58 people were killed in government forces, 138 in militants and at least 20 civilians. At present, a small number of militants are trapped within three blocks by government forces, holding civilians hostage and dying.